CSE
Toss Index487.0 +1.56%Match Index1,216.6 +4.27%TIX-SLTO26105.8 +5.83%TIX-SLTO26115.2 +6.66%Sri Lanka tour of England 2026 · CSXM3633 ENG vs SL +4.27%M3632 IND vs JPN +4.27%M3631 ABF vs JK +0.94%M3630 ZIM vs AUS +4.27%M3629 JPN vs HK +0.00%M3628 ENG vs SL +4.27%M3627 ZIM-W vs SA-W +4.27%M3626 JPN vs HK +4.27%M3625 JK vs GAW −4.30%M3624 ZIM vs AUS +1.77%Toss Index487.0 +1.56%Match Index1,216.6 +4.27%TIX-SLTO26105.8 +5.83%TIX-SLTO26115.2 +6.66%Sri Lanka tour of England 2026 · CSXM3633 ENG vs SL +4.27%M3632 IND vs JPN +4.27%M3631 ABF vs JK +0.94%M3630 ZIM vs AUS +4.27%M3629 JPN vs HK +0.00%M3628 ENG vs SL +4.27%M3627 ZIM-W vs SA-W +4.27%M3626 JPN vs HK +4.27%M3625 JK vs GAW −4.30%M3624 ZIM vs AUS +1.77%
Cricket Match Predictions

SA vs AUS Match Prediction — Who Will Win 1st ODI? South Africa vs Australia

In this SA vs AUS match prediction, we analyse recent form, pitch report, weather conditions, head-to-head record, key players, and match scenarios to find out who will win SA vs AUS today in the 1st ODI of the Australia tour of South Africa 2026

SA vs AUS Match Prediction 1st ODI — AUS Favourites Expert Prediction & Toss Tip
SA vs AUS Match Prediction 1st ODI — AUS Favourites Expert Prediction & Toss Tip

South Africa will play against Australia in the first match of Australia's 2026 tour of South Africa on September 24th at Kingsmead, Durban. Both teams are coming off strong series; Australia recently won 3-0 against Zimbabwe, while South Africa defeated Namibia 3-0 in their latest ODI series. They will enter this game with confidence, aiming to keep their winning streak alive.

The previous ODI series between these teams was in 2023 and featured a notable comeback by South Africa. Despite Australia leading 2-0, South Africa won the next three matches, securing the series 3-2. 

Read Also: SA vs AUS Dream11 Prediction — 1st ODI Best Team, Captain & Vice-Captain Picks

SA vs AUS Match Details – 1st ODI 

  • Match: South Africa vs Australia, 1st ODI 

  • Date: 24th September, 2026

  • Time: 1:30 PM IST

  • Venue: Kingsmead, Durban

  • Live Streaming: Fancode 

SA vs AUS Pitch Report - Kingsmead 

Kingsmead traditionally provided support to seam bowlers early, with swing and seam movement in the morning due to coastal moisture. Batting becomes easier once the ball loses shine, rewarding patient stroke play.

  • Win Batting First: 40%

  • Win Bowling First: 60%

Average Scores

  • Average 1st Innings: 300

  • Average 2nd Innings: 240

SA vs AUS Weather Report – Durban Conditions 

Temperature

20.8°C

Rain Possibility

15%

Average Score

300

Best Suited For

Batting 

SA vs AUS Recent Form

Team

Last 5 Matches

SA

W, W, W, L, W

AUS

W, W, W, W, L

SA vs AUS Head-to-Head Record (Last 10 ODIs)

Team

Wins

South Africa 

6

Australia 

4

NR

0

SA vs AUS Injury News & Team Updates – 1st ODI 

SA: All players are fit and available for the match

AUS: Mitchell Starc are available for this series 

SA vs AUS Win Probability – 1st ODI 

Team

Win Probability

South Africa 

48%

Australia 

52%

SA vs AUS Key Player Battles to Watch 

Player

Team

ODI Stats

Q De Kock

SA

7123 runs

David Miller 

SA

4611 runs

Mitchell Marsh 

AUS

3195 runs

Mitchell Starc

AUS

247 wickets

Josh Hazlewood 

AUS

144 wickets

Pat Cummins 

AUS

143 wickets

SA vs AUS Match Prediction Scenarios

Scenario 1: If SA Bat First

  • Powerplay Score: 35–40

  • Predicted Total: 250-275

  • Match Result: AUS to win

Scenario 2: If AUS Bat First

  • Powerplay Score: 40–50

  • Predicted Total: 275–300

  • Match Result: AUS to win

SA vs AUS Toss Prediction – 1st ODI 

The last three out of five ODI matches have been won by the chasing team, so the toss-winning captain most likely chose to bowl first in this match.

Prediction: AUS to win the toss and elect to bowl first 

SA vs AUS Probable Playing 

South Africa (SA)

Quinton de Kock (WK), Ryan Rickelton, Temba Bavuma (C), Aiden Markram, Matthew Breetzke, Tristan Stubbs/David Miller, Marco Jansen, Corbin Bosch, Keshav Maharaj, Gerald Coetzee, Kwena Maphaka.

Australia (AUS)

Travis Head, Mitchell Marsh (C), Josh Inglis, Cooper Connolly, Matt Renshaw, Cameron Green/Jack Edwards, Alex Carey (WK), Mitchell Starc, Adam Zampa, Nathan Ellis, Josh Hazlewood

SA vs AUS 1st ODI Player of the Match Prediction

  • Mitchell Marsh 

  • Cooper Connolly 

  • Aiden Markram 

Who Will Win SA vs AUS Today? — Expert Prediction 1st ODI 

According to our SA vs AUS who will win today, Australia are the favourites to win the 1st ODI expert predictions. The likes of Travis Head, Mitchell Marsh and Mitchell Starc will be key players to watch out for.

SA vs AUS, who will win today: Australia to win 

SA vs AUS Match Result  – 1st ODI Results 

(To be updated after the match - September 24, 2026)

Frequently Asked Questions

Australia are favourites and are predicted to beat South Africa.

Australia are predicted to win the toss and opt to bowl first.

Kingsmead traditionally provided support to seam bowlers early, with swing and seam movement in the morning due to coastal moisture. Batting becomes easier once the ball loses shine, rewarding patient stroke play.

Cooper Connolly, Aiden Markram and Mitchell Marsh are the key players to watch.

Australia has a 52% win probability, while Zimbabwe has a 48% chance.

Match Tips

  • High Scoring Match 190+

About the Author

Bhupender Sharma
Written By

Bhupender Sharma

author · 1032 articles

I am Bhupender Sharma, a cricket analyst, match prediction writer, and fantasy cricket expert with 7+ years of experience. I cover domestic and international cricket, global T20 leagues, and the Indian Premier League (IPL), and have previously worked with CricTracker, KhelTalk, and Sportsdunia.

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