IND vs SL Match Prediction — Who Will Win Men's Asian Games 2026 2nd Semi-Final? India vs Sri Lanka
In this IND vs SL match prediction, we analyse recent form, pitch conditions, weather report, head-to-head record, key players, and match scenarios to find out IND vs SL who will win today's Men's Asian Games 2026 in the 2nd Semi-Final of Men's Asian Games 2026
India will face Sri Lanka in the 2nd Semi-Final of the Men's Asian Games 2026 at Korogi Sports Park, Japan, on Thursday, 1 October. Both teams advanced to the semifinals after all quarter-final matches were washed out due to rain.
India have bounced back strongly after losing 4-0 to England under new T20I captain Shreyas Iyer. They have won their last seven matches, beating Zimbabwe and Afghanistan 3-0 each and Japan 1-0. Meanwhile, Sri Lanka have left out their first-choice players, which could make it difficult for them to win this match.
Read Also: Where to watch India vs Sri Lanka in Asian Games 2026? Check TV channels, live streaming and more
IND vs SL Match Details – Men's Asian Games 2026, 2nd Semi-Final
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Match: India vs Sri Lanka (2nd Semi-Final)
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Date: 1 October 2026
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Match Time: 10:00 AM IST
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Venue: Korogi Sports Park, Japan
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Live Streaming: Sony LIV
IND vs SL Pitch Report – Korogi Sports Park, Japan
The pitch at Korogi Sports Park, Nisshin, is expected to be well-balanced, offering something for both batters and bowlers. The hard surface should allow the ball to come nicely onto the bat.
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Win Batting First: 60%
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Win Bowling First: 40%
Average Score
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Average 1st Innings: 130
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Average 2nd Innings: 105
IND vs SL Weather Report – Japan Conditions
|
Temperature |
26°C |
|
Rain Possibility |
10% |
|
Average 1st Innings Score |
130 |
|
Best Suited For |
Spin (56%) |
IND vs SL Recent Form
|
Team |
Last 5 Matches |
|
IND |
W, W, W, W, W |
|
SL |
L, W, L, L, W |
IND vs AFG Head-to-Head Record (Last 10 matches)
|
Team |
Wins |
|
India |
8 |
|
Sri Lanka |
2 |
|
NR |
0 |
IND vs SL Injury News & Team Updates – 2nd Semi-Final
IND: Fully fit squad available for this match
SL: All players are fully fit
IND vs SL Win Probability – Men's Asian Games 2026 2nd Semi-Final
|
Team |
Win Probability |
|
India |
65% |
|
Sri Lanka |
35% |
IND vs SL Key Player Battles to Watch
|
Player |
Team |
T20I Stats |
|
Abhishek Sharma |
IND |
1858 runs |
|
Sanju Samson |
IND |
1558 runs |
|
Niroshan Dickwella |
SL |
480 runs |
|
Arshdeep Singh |
IND |
140 wickets |
|
Axar Patel |
IND |
105 wickets |
|
Nuwan Thushara |
SL |
36 wickets |
IND vs SL Match Prediction Scenarios
Scenario 1: If SL bats first
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Powerplay Score: 30–35
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Predicted Total: 120 – 136
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Match Result: IND to win
Scenario 2: If IND bats first
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Powerplay Score: 40–50
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Predicted Total: 150–170
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Match Result: IND to win
IND vs SL Toss Prediction – 2nd Semi-Final Men's Asian Games 2026
The conditions at this venue generally favour teams bowling first. Hence, the captain winning the toss is likely to choose to bowl first.
Prediction: IND will win the toss and opt to bowl first
IND vs SL Probable Playing 11
India (IND)
Shreyas Iyer (c), Sanju Samson, Abhishek Sharma, Ishan Kishan, Tilak Varma, Axar Patel, Shivam Dube, Washington Sundar, Arshdeep Singh, Jaspreet Bumrah, Ravi Bishnoi
Sri Lanka (SL)
Niroshan Dickwella, Chamika Karunaratne, Nuwan Thushara, Sahan Arachchige, Ashen Bandara, Nuwanidu Fernando, Binura Fernando, Garuka Sanketh, Sineth Jayawardena, Tharindu Ratnayake, Dushan Hemantha.
IND vs SL 2nd Semi-Final Player of the Match Prediction
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Abhishek Sharma
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Sanju Samson
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Niroshan Dickwella
Who Will Win IND vs SL Today? — Expert Prediction 2nd Semi-Final
According to our IND vs SL who will win Men's Asian Games 2026, India are the favourites to win this Men's Asia Cup 2026 expert prediction. Sanju Samson, Abhishek Sharma and Jaspreet Bumrah are expected to be the key performers.
IND vs AFG who will win today Men's Asian Games 2026: India to win
IND vs SL Match Result – Men's Asian Games 2026 2nd Semi-Final Result
(To be updated after the match - October 1, 2026)
Frequently Asked Questions
India are favourites and are predicted to beat Sri Lanka
India are predicted to win the toss and opt to bowl first
The pitch at Korogi Sports Park, Nisshin, is expected to be well-balanced, offering something for both batters and bowlers. The hard surface should allow the ball to come nicely onto the bat. The average first-innings score is 130 runs
Sanju Samson, Abhishek Sharma, Arshdeep Singh, Axar Patel and Niroshan Dickwella are the key players to watch
India has a 65% win probability, while Sri Lanka has a 35% chance
Match Tips
- High Scoring Match 190+
About the Author
I am Bhupender Sharma, a cricket analyst, match prediction writer, and fantasy cricket expert with 7+ years of experience. I cover domestic and international cricket, global T20 leagues, and the Indian Premier League (IPL), and have previously worked with CricTracker, KhelTalk, and Sportsdunia.
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