CSE
Toss Index467.1▼ −5.00%Match Index1,345.5▲ +0.94%TIX-CTC26100.6▼ −4.06%TIX-WITO26104.9▲ +4.94%TIX-SLTO26115.2▲ +6.66%CSA T20 Challenge 2026 · CSXM3675 WAR vs NC▲ +0.94%M3674 ROC vs ES▲ +0.52%M3673 MT vs SA-E▲ +4.27%M3672 KTS vs KNI▼ −5.00%M3671 SWD vs HL▲ +1.77%M3670 ZIM-W vs WI-W▬ +0.00%M3669 WP vs ES▲ +2.84%M3668 IND vs WI▲ +2.05%M3667 LIM vs SWD▲ +2.60%M3666 ZIM-W vs WI-W▬ +0.00%Toss Index467.1▼ −5.00%Match Index1,345.5▲ +0.94%TIX-CTC26100.6▼ −4.06%TIX-WITO26104.9▲ +4.94%TIX-SLTO26115.2▲ +6.66%CSA T20 Challenge 2026 · CSXM3675 WAR vs NC▲ +0.94%M3674 ROC vs ES▲ +0.52%M3673 MT vs SA-E▲ +4.27%M3672 KTS vs KNI▼ −5.00%M3671 SWD vs HL▲ +1.77%M3670 ZIM-W vs WI-W▬ +0.00%M3669 WP vs ES▲ +2.84%M3668 IND vs WI▲ +2.05%M3667 LIM vs SWD▲ +2.60%M3666 ZIM-W vs WI-W▬ +0.00%
Cricket Match Predictions

PAK vs SL Match Prediction — Who Will Win 1st T20I? Pakistan vs Sri Lanka

In this PAK vs SL match prediction, we analyse recent form, pitch report, weather conditions, head-to-head record, key players, and match scenarios to find out who will win PAK vs SL today in the 1st T20I of the Sri Lanka tour of Pakistan 2026

PAK vs SL Match Prediction 1st T20I — PAK Favourites Expert Prediction & Toss Tip
PAK vs SL Match Prediction 1st T20I — PAK Favourites Expert Prediction & Toss Tip

Pakistan will face Sri Lanka in the opening T20I of Sri Lanka’s tour of Pakistan 2026 on October 9th at Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium, Rawalpindi. Both teams have delivered decent performances recently, having successfully won medals at the recently concluded Asian Games 2026.

Pakistan played against India in the Asian Games final. They put up a good fight but lost by 19 runs, finishing with the silver medal. Meanwhile, Sri Lanka have struggled in T20 cricket recently. They lost 3-0 in the series against England and then suffered a defeat against India in the Asian Games semi-final, finishing with the bronze medal.

See Also: Watch: Sahibzada Farhan confirms his opening partner for Pakistan's T20I series vs Sri Lanka

PAK vs SL Match Details – 1st T20I 

  • Match: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka, 1st T20I 

  • Date: 9th October, 2026

  • Time: 6:30 PM IST

  • Venue: Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium, Rawalpindi 

  • Live Streaming: JioHotstar 

PAK vs SL Pitch Report - Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium, Rawalpindi 

The surface here will be a balanced one with good help for both pacers and spinners.  Shorter boundaries mean plenty of runs will be on offer. Both teams will prefer chasing.

  • Win Batting First: 30%

  • Win Bowling First: 70%

Average Scores

  • Average 1st Innings: 150

  • Average 2nd Innings: 145

PAK vs SL Weather Report – Rawalpindi Conditions 

Temperature

25°C

Rain Possibility

1%

Average Score

150

Best Suited For

Batting 

PAK vs SL Recent Form

Team

Last 5 Matches

PAK

L, W, W, L, W

SL

W, L, L, L, L

PAK vs SL Head-to-Head Record (Last 10 T20I)

Team

Wins

Pakistan 

5

Sri Lanka 

5

NR

0

PAK vs SL Injury News & Team Updates – 1st T20I

PAK: All players are fit and available for the match

SL: Fully fit squad available for this match 

PAK vs SL Win Probability – 1st T20I 

Team

Win Probability

Pakistan 

55%

Sri Lanka 

45%

PAK vs SL Key Player Battles to Watch 

Player

Team

T20I Stats

Kusal Mendis 

SL

2694 runs

Dasun Shanaka

SL

2048 runs

Sahibzada Farhan

PAK

1316 runs

Shadab Khan

PAK

123 wickets

Maheesh Theekshana

SL

84 wickets

Dunith Wellalage 

SL

21 wickets

PAK vs SL Match Prediction Scenarios

Scenario 1: If SL Bat First

  • Powerplay Score: 45–50

  • Predicted Total: 155- 170

  • Match Result: PAK to win

Scenario 2: If PAK Bat First

  • Powerplay Score: 45–55

  • Predicted Total: 165–180

  • Match Result: PAK to win

PAK vs SL Toss Prediction – 1st T20I 

The chasing side has won 10 out of the 16 international T20 matches played at this venue. Therefore, the captain winning the toss is expected to choose to bowl first.

Prediction: PAK to win the toss and elect to bowl first 

PAK vs SL Probable Playing 

Pakistan (PAK)

Sahibzada Farhan ©, Fakhar Zaman, Khawaja Nafay, Hasan Nawaz, Saim Ayub, Abdul Samad, Shadab Khan, Arafat Minhas, Naseem Shah, Abrar Ahmed, Sufyan Moqim.

Sri Lanka (SL)

Kusal Mendis ©, Kamil Mishara, Sineth Jayawardena, Sahan Arachchige, Kamindu Mendis, Dasun Shanaka, Maheesh Theekshana, Dushmantha Chameera, Eshan Malinga, Dunith Wellalage, Binura Fernando

PAK vs SL 1st T20I Player of the Match Prediction

  • Sahibzada Farhan 

  • Saim Ayub 

  • Kusal Mendis 

Who Will Win PAK vs SL Today? — Expert Prediction 1st T20I 

According to our PAK vs SL who will win today, Pakistan are the favourites to win the 1st T20I expert predictions. The likes of Fakhar Zaman, Khawaja Nafay and Shadab Khan will be key players to watch out for.

PAK vs SL, who will win today: Pakistan to win 

PAK vs SL Match Result  – 1st T20I Results 

(To be updated after the match - October 9, 2026)

Frequently Asked Questions

Pakistan are favourites and are predicted to beat Sri Lanka

Pakistan are predicted to win the toss and opt to bowl first.

The surface here will be a balanced one with good help for both pacers and spinners. Shorter boundaries mean plenty of runs will be on offer. Both teams will prefer chasing

Kusal Mendis, Sahibzada Farhan and Saim Ayub are the key players to watch

Sri Lanka has a 45% win probability, while Pakistan has a 55% chance

Match Tips

  • High Scoring Match 190+

About the Author

Bhupender Sharma
Written By

Bhupender Sharma

author · 1078 articles

I am Bhupender Sharma, a cricket analyst, match prediction writer, and fantasy cricket expert with 7+ years of experience. I cover domestic and international cricket, global T20 leagues, and the Indian Premier League (IPL), and have previously worked with CricTracker, KhelTalk, and Sportsdunia.

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