PAK vs SL Match Prediction — Who Will Win 1st T20I? Pakistan vs Sri Lanka
In this PAK vs SL match prediction, we analyse recent form, pitch report, weather conditions, head-to-head record, key players, and match scenarios to find out who will win PAK vs SL today in the 1st T20I of the Sri Lanka tour of Pakistan 2026

Pakistan will face Sri Lanka in the opening T20I of Sri Lanka’s tour of Pakistan 2026 on October 9th at Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium, Rawalpindi. Both teams have delivered decent performances recently, having successfully won medals at the recently concluded Asian Games 2026.
Pakistan played against India in the Asian Games final. They put up a good fight but lost by 19 runs, finishing with the silver medal. Meanwhile, Sri Lanka have struggled in T20 cricket recently. They lost 3-0 in the series against England and then suffered a defeat against India in the Asian Games semi-final, finishing with the bronze medal.
See Also: Watch: Sahibzada Farhan confirms his opening partner for Pakistan's T20I series vs Sri Lanka
PAK vs SL Match Details – 1st T20I
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Match: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka, 1st T20I
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Date: 9th October, 2026
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Time: 6:30 PM IST
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Venue: Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium, Rawalpindi
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Live Streaming: JioHotstar
PAK vs SL Pitch Report - Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium, Rawalpindi
The surface here will be a balanced one with good help for both pacers and spinners. Shorter boundaries mean plenty of runs will be on offer. Both teams will prefer chasing.
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Win Batting First: 30%
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Win Bowling First: 70%
Average Scores
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Average 1st Innings: 150
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Average 2nd Innings: 145
PAK vs SL Weather Report – Rawalpindi Conditions
|
Temperature |
25°C |
|
Rain Possibility |
1% |
|
Average Score |
150 |
|
Best Suited For |
Batting |
PAK vs SL Recent Form
|
Team |
Last 5 Matches |
|
PAK |
L, W, W, L, W |
|
SL |
W, L, L, L, L |
PAK vs SL Head-to-Head Record (Last 10 T20I)
|
Team |
Wins |
|
Pakistan |
5 |
|
Sri Lanka |
5 |
|
NR |
0 |
PAK vs SL Injury News & Team Updates – 1st T20I
PAK: All players are fit and available for the match
SL: Fully fit squad available for this match
PAK vs SL Win Probability – 1st T20I
|
Team |
Win Probability |
|
Pakistan |
55% |
|
Sri Lanka |
45% |
PAK vs SL Key Player Battles to Watch
|
Player |
Team |
T20I Stats |
|
SL |
2694 runs |
|
|
Dasun Shanaka |
SL |
2048 runs |
|
Sahibzada Farhan |
PAK |
1316 runs |
|
Shadab Khan |
PAK |
123 wickets |
|
Maheesh Theekshana |
SL |
84 wickets |
|
Dunith Wellalage |
SL |
21 wickets |
PAK vs SL Match Prediction Scenarios
Scenario 1: If SL Bat First
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Powerplay Score: 45–50
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Predicted Total: 155- 170
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Match Result: PAK to win
Scenario 2: If PAK Bat First
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Powerplay Score: 45–55
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Predicted Total: 165–180
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Match Result: PAK to win
PAK vs SL Toss Prediction – 1st T20I
The chasing side has won 10 out of the 16 international T20 matches played at this venue. Therefore, the captain winning the toss is expected to choose to bowl first.
Prediction: PAK to win the toss and elect to bowl first
PAK vs SL Probable Playing
Pakistan (PAK)
Sahibzada Farhan ©, Fakhar Zaman, Khawaja Nafay, Hasan Nawaz, Saim Ayub, Abdul Samad, Shadab Khan, Arafat Minhas, Naseem Shah, Abrar Ahmed, Sufyan Moqim.
Sri Lanka (SL)
Kusal Mendis ©, Kamil Mishara, Sineth Jayawardena, Sahan Arachchige, Kamindu Mendis, Dasun Shanaka, Maheesh Theekshana, Dushmantha Chameera, Eshan Malinga, Dunith Wellalage, Binura Fernando
PAK vs SL 1st T20I Player of the Match Prediction
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Sahibzada Farhan
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Saim Ayub
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Kusal Mendis
Who Will Win PAK vs SL Today? — Expert Prediction 1st T20I
According to our PAK vs SL who will win today, Pakistan are the favourites to win the 1st T20I expert predictions. The likes of Fakhar Zaman, Khawaja Nafay and Shadab Khan will be key players to watch out for.
PAK vs SL, who will win today: Pakistan to win
PAK vs SL Match Result – 1st T20I Results
(To be updated after the match - October 9, 2026)
Frequently Asked Questions
Pakistan are favourites and are predicted to beat Sri Lanka
Pakistan are predicted to win the toss and opt to bowl first.
The surface here will be a balanced one with good help for both pacers and spinners. Shorter boundaries mean plenty of runs will be on offer. Both teams will prefer chasing
Kusal Mendis, Sahibzada Farhan and Saim Ayub are the key players to watch
Sri Lanka has a 45% win probability, while Pakistan has a 55% chance
Match Tips
- High Scoring Match 190+
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