Cricket Match Predictions

PAK vs SL Match Prediction — Who Will Win 5th ODI? Pakistan vs Sri Lanka

In this PAK vs SL match prediction, we analyse recent form, pitch report, weather conditions, head-to-head record, key players, and match scenarios to find out who will win PAK vs SL today in the 5th ODI of the Triangular series in Pakistan 2026

Bhupender Sharma
Published 4 mins read
PAK vs SL Match Prediction 5th ODI — SL Favourites Expert Prediction & Toss Tip
PAK vs SL Match Prediction 5th ODI — SL Favourites Expert Prediction & Toss Tip

Pakistan will face Sri Lanka in the 5th ODI of the Triangular series in Pakistan on October 27 at Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore. The Pakistan team has displayed excellent form in the series. Having won all three of their matches, they currently hold the top position with 6 points. In their most recent match, they defeated England by one wicket.

Meanwhile, the Sri Lanka team also made a strong comeback after losing their opening match, defeating England by 2 wickets in their second game. Chasing a target of 430 runs, they successfully reached the target with 49.5 overs bowled.

Read Also: PAK vs SL Dream11 Prediction — Tri-Series 2026, Match 5 Best Team, Captain & Vice-Captain Picks

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PAK vs SL Match Details – 5th ODI 

  • Match: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka, 5th ODI 

  • Date: 27th October, 2026

  • Time: 1:30 PM IST

  • Venue: Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore

  • Live Streaming: YouTube 

PAK vs SL Pitch Report - Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore

The pitch at the Gaddafi Stadium is usually good for batting, as historically seen. Pacers get some help with the new ball early on, while spinners can come into play later as the surface slows a bit.

  • Win Batting First: 60%

  • Win Bowling First: 40%

Average Scores

  • Average 1st Innings: 265

  • Average 2nd Innings: 245

PAK vs SL Weather Report – Lahore Conditions 

Temperature

20°C

Rain Possibility

0%

Average Score

265

Best Suited For

Batting 

PAK vs SL Recent Form

Team

Last 5 Matches

PAK

W, W, W, W, L

SL

W, L, L, W, L

PAK vs SL Head-to-Head Record (Last 10 ODIs)

Team

Wins

Pakistan 

9

Sri Lanka 

1

NR

0

PAK vs SL Injury News & Team Updates – 5th ODI 

SL: All players are fit and available for the match

PAK: Fully fit squad available for this match 

PAK vs SL Win Probability – 5th ODI 

Team

Win Probability

Pakistan 

48%

Sri Lanka 

52%

PAK vs SL Key Player Battles to Watch 

Player

Team

Series Stats

Pavan Rathnayake 

SL

209 runs

Salman Ali Agha

PAK

149 runs

Hasan Nawaz

PAK

131 runs

Arafat Minhas

PAK

8 wickets

Shaheen Afridi 

PAK

7 wickets

Eshan Malinga 

SL

4 wickets

PAK vs SL Match Prediction Scenarios

Scenario 1: If PAK Bat First

  • Powerplay Score: 45–50

  • Predicted Total: 255- 270

  • Match Result: SL to win

See also: Saim Ayub released from Pakistan ODI Squad: The real reason behind the exit, Sahibzada Farhan named replacement

Scenario 2: If SL Bat First

  • Powerplay Score: 45–55

  • Predicted Total: 280–295

  • Match Result: SL to win

PAK vs SL Toss Prediction – 5th ODI 

91 ODIs have been played at Gaddafi Stadium, with 46 wins for teams batting first and 43 for teams chasing.

Prediction: SL to win the toss and elect to bat first 

PAK vs SL Probable Playing 

Pakistan (PAK)

Fakhar Zaman, Sahibzada Farhan, Babar Azam, Saad Baig (WK), Salman Ali Agha, Hasan Nawaz, Arafat Minhas, Shadab Khan, Shaheen Afridi (C), Razaullah, Haris Rauf.

Sri Lanka (SL)

Kamindu Mendis, Avishka Fernando, Kusal Mendis (C, WK), Pavan Rathnayake, Dasun Shanaka, Janith Liyanage, Sahan Arachchige, Dunith Wellalage, Eshan Malinga, Asitha Fernando, Dilshan Madushanka.

PAK vs SL 5th ODI Player of the Match Prediction

  • Pavan Rathnayake 

  • Janith Liyanage 

  • Shadab Khan 

Who Will Win PAK vs SL Today? — Expert Prediction 5th ODI 

According to our PAK vs SL who will win today, Sri Lanka are the favourites to win the 5th ODI expert predictions. The likes of Avishka Fernando, Kusal Mendis and Pavan Rathnayake will be key players to watch out for.

PAK vs SL, who will win today: Sri Lanka to win 

PAK vs SL Match Result  – 5th ODI Results 

(To be updated after the match - October 27, 2026)

Frequently Asked Questions

Sri Lanka are favourites and are predicted to beat Pakistan

Sri Lanka are predicted to win the toss and opt to bowl first

The pitch at the Gaddafi Stadium is usually good for batting, as historically seen. Pacers get some help with the new ball early on, while spinners can come into play later as the surface slows a bit.

Pavan Rathnayake, Janith Liyanage and Shadab Khan are the key players to watch.

Pakistan has a 48% win probability, while Sri Lanka has a 52% chance

Match Tips

  • High Scoring Match 190+
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About the Author

Bhupender Sharma
Written By

Bhupender Sharma

author · 1103 articles

I am Bhupender Sharma, a cricket analyst, match prediction writer, and fantasy cricket expert with 7+ years of experience. I cover domestic and international cricket, global T20 leagues, and the Indian Premier League (IPL), and have previously worked with CricTracker, KhelTalk, and Sportsdunia.

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