MR-W vs ST-W Match Prediction — Who Will Win WBBL 2026 Match 1? MR-W vs ST-W
In this MR-W vs ST-W match prediction, we analyse recent form, pitch conditions, weather report, head-to-head record, key players, and match scenarios to find out MR-W vs ST-W who will win today WBBL 2026 in the Match 1 of WBBL 2026

Melbourne Renegades Women will host Sydney Thunder Women in the opening match of WBBL 2026 at The Junction Oval in Melbourne on Thursday, 29 October. This has been a very close rivalry over the years, with both teams winning 10 matches each in their 20 meetings.
Both teams had a mixed season last year. Melbourne Renegades finished fifth with five wins and five losses, just missing out on a place in the top four. Sydney Thunder, meanwhile, finished seventh with four wins, five losses and one no-result.
Also Read: Women’s Big Bash League (WBBL) 2026-27: Squads, schedule and live streaming details in India
MR-W vs ST-W Match Details – WBBL 2026, Match 1
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Match: Melbourne Renegades Women vs Sydney Thunder Women (Match 1)
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Date: 29th October 2026
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Match Time: 10:10 AM IST
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Venue: The Junction Oval, Melbourne
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Live Streaming: Fancode
MR-W vs ST-W Pitch Report – The Junction Oval, Melbourne
The Junction Oval, Melbourne pitch is a balanced track, where batters, as well as the bowlers, will get to showcase their abilities. Pacers can come in handy in this match, with this track offering some good pace to the bowlers.
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Win Batting First: 40%
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Win Bowling First: 60%
Average Score
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Average 1st Innings: 148
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Average 2nd Innings: 135
MR-W vs ST-W Weather Report – Melbourne Conditions
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Temperature |
13.7°C |
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Rain Possibility |
10% |
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Average 1st innings Score |
148 |
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Best Suited For |
Pacer (65%) |
MR-W vs ST-W Recent Form
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Team |
Last 5 Matches |
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MR-W |
W, L, W, L, W |
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ST-W |
L, W, W, W, W |
MR-W vs ST-W Head-to-Head Record (Last 10 matches)
|
Team |
Wins |
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Melbourne Renegades Women |
7 |
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Sydney Thunder Women |
3 |
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NR |
0 |
MR-W vs ST-W Injury News & Team Updates – Match 1
MR-W: Fully fit squad available for this match
ST-W: All players are fully fit
MR-W vs ST-W Win Probability – WBBL 2026 Match 1
|
Team |
Win Probability |
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Melbourne Renegades Women |
40% |
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Sydney Thunder Women |
60% |
MR-W vs ST-W Key Player Battles to Watch
|
Player |
Team |
WBBL Stats |
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Heather Knight |
ST-W |
2510 runs |
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ST-W |
1825 runs |
|
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Hayley Matthews |
MR-W |
1697 runs |
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Nicola Hancock |
ST-W |
115 wickets |
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Georgia Wareham |
MR-W |
78 wickets |
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Deandra Dottin |
MR-W |
47 wicket |
MR-W vs ST-W Match Prediction Scenarios
Scenario 1: If MR-W bats first
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Powerplay Score: 35–40
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Predicted Total: 145–150
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Match Result: Sydney Thunder Women to win
See Also: “Absolutely ridiculous” — Marizanne Kapp slams Cricket Australia over Anaya Bangar's WBBL pathway
Scenario 2: If ST-W bats first
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Powerplay Score: 45–50
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Predicted Total: 155–165
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Match Result: Sydney Thunder Women to win
MR-W vs ST-W Toss Prediction – Match 1 WBBL 2026
Chasing has worked well at Junction Oval, with 6 of the 8 WBBL matches last season won by the team batting second. Therefore, the captain who won the toss opted to bowl first.
Prediction: ST-W will win the toss and opt to bowl first
MR-W vs ST-W Probable Playing 11
Melbourne Renegades Women (MR-W)
Hayley Matthews, Deandra Dottin, Courtney Webb, Nicole Faltum(WK), Tess Flintoff, Georgia Wareham, Chloe Tryon, Sophie Molineux(C), Milly Illingworth, Tayla Vlaeminck, Sara Kennedy.
Sydney Thunder Women (ST-W)
Georgia Voll, Phoebe Litchfield(C), Laura Harris, Heather Knight, Tahlia Wilson(WK), Nicola Hancock, Hasrat Gill, Lucy Finn, Hannah Darlington, Lauren Bell, Jemma Barsby
MR-W vs ST-W Match 1 Player of the Match Prediction
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Georgia Voll
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Phoebe Litchfield
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Hayley Matthews
Who Will Win MR-W vs ST-W Today? — Expert Prediction Match 1
According to our MR-W vs ST-W who will win today WBBL 2026, Sydney Thunder Women are the favourites to win this WBBL 2026 expert prediction. Georgia Voll, Phoebe Litchfield and Heather Knight are expected to be the key performers.
MR-W vs ST-W who will win today WBBL 2026: Sydney Thunder Women to win
MR-W vs ST-W Match Result – WBBL 2026 Match 1 Result
(To be updated after the match - October 29, 2026)
Frequently Asked Questions
Sydney Thunder Women are favourites and are predicted to beat Melbourne Renegades Women.
Sydney Thunder Women are predicted to win the toss and opt to bowl first
The pitch is balanced, offering opportunities for both batters and bowlers. Pacers can benefit from the good pace on the surface. The average first-innings score is 148 runs.
Georgia Voll, Phoebe Litchfield, Heather Knight, Hayley Matthews and Georgia Wareham are the key players to watch.
Sydney Thunder Women have a 60% win probability, while Melbourne Renegades Women have a 40% chance
Match Tips
- High Scoring Match 190+








